Muthead

Quick math for how many TOTY players attainable from the events (Spoiler: Probably a bit short of 4 without, 9-10 with packs)

Updated with the pack information

So here is my quick math for how many TOTY players we can get from just doing the events. I'm gonna focus on the badges, since that seems to be the bottleneck.

The promo is active for 4 weeks, and the Token collector event is last loaded for 3/4 at 10:30 PM. So that is 162 token collector events. (27 2 3 = 162) I think we are not getting events on the 28th day for some reason. So the total token we can get is 81000.

The player events give out badges and they have a master event pack and the 1st win pack. The master event pack is the grindable one, and it gives out 1-5 badges, but seems 5 is a really rare outcome. So we will say 2.5 is the average for now. This could even be lower as we saw in the Pro Bowl promo where we had the similar setup but the average was almost below 2 since so many were pulling 1s. This time for me, my average was 2.8 actually, so maybe it could be better. (n=10) 1st win pack has a range from 26 - 55 from the looks of it. My experience has been the lowest of 27 and the highest of 54. The straight-up average would be 40.5. My average (n=10 again) is 43. But these are going to be one-time only per player because the reset time for these events are going till the end of the promo.

Pinetree622

Updated with the pack information

So here is my quick math for how many TOTY players we can get from just doing the events. I'm gonna focus on the badges, since that seems to be the bottleneck.

The promo is active for 4 weeks, and the Token collector event is last loaded for 3/4 at 10:30 PM. So that is 162 token collector events. (27 2 3 = 162) I think we are not getting events on the 28th day for some reason. So the total token we can get is 81000.

The player events give out badges and they have a master event pack and the 1st win pack. The master event pack is the grindable one, and it gives out 1-5 badges, but seems 5 is a really rare outcome. So we will say 2.5 is the average for now. This could even be lower as we saw in the Pro Bowl promo where we had the similar setup but the average was almost below 2 since so many were pulling 1s. This time for me, my average was 2.8 actually, so maybe it could be better. (n=10) 1st win pack has a range from 26 - 55 from the looks of it. My experience has been the lowest of 27 and the highest of 54. The straight-up average would be 40.5. My average (n=10 again) is 43. But these are going to be one-time only per player because the reset time for these events are going till the end of the promo.

Pinetree622

After 30 more tries, my average actually went up to 3.13. Pulled 5 badges pretty often actually. So the grind pack average might be higher than 2.5 as we originally assumed.

Pinetree622

I updated the top of the thread with the new pack information added along with the cost.

Pinetree622

Quote from ForumsMobile >> Quote from BillWalton >> Quote from starkmm

ForumsMobile

Quote from BillWalton >> Quote from starkmm >> Numbers are sure to change now with HSD's announcement.

 So, it will becomes 4 guarantee, and 5 with a push.

 all depends on the cool down timers...

BillWalton

Quote from starkmm >> Numbers are sure to change now with HSD's announcement.

 So, it will becomes 4 guarantee, and 5 with a push.

starkmm

Numbers are sure to change now with HSD's announcement.

Shemmar2K

Thanks

ForumsMobile

Without any collectibles you can "buy" like in SB it's a bit rough.

Quote from Picksforsix >> Do we get a 1st win pack from each player??? 

 yeah. i didn't realize that until I did tyreek's event twice -_-

Oh well you should be able to get enough tokens later today to finish the rest

HeelsWH

Quote from Latersonthemenjay >> Quote from BillWalton >> Yup.  3-4 from my quick math as well.

The worst, it is super expensive to get more TOTY from AH.  And if you want the "set" version, you have to wait until end of March. This is just crazy.

Picksforsix

Do we get a 1st win pack from each player???

BillWalton

Quote from Latersonthemenjay >> Quote from BillWalton >> Yup.  3-4 from my quick math as well.

The worst, it is super expensive to get more TOTY from AH.  And if you want the "set" version, you have to wait until end of March. This is just crazy.

stairwaytose7en

thanks for the math. I wonder who else to expect from the program...

trewafszdcvxbnhj

thanks for the math

Quote from BillWalton >> Yup.  3-4 from my quick math as well.

The worst, it is super expensive to get more TOTY from AH.  And if you want the "set" version, you have to wait until end of March. This is just crazy.

 Why would you have to wait til the end of march?

Quote from BillWalton >> Yup.  3-4 from my quick math as well.

The worst, it is super expensive to get more TOTY from AH.  And if you want the "set" version, you have to wait until end of March. This is just crazy.

 Agreed and for those that were hoping this was going to be a coin maker, yeah not so much.

BillWalton

Yup.  3-4 from my quick math as well.

The worst, it is super expensive to get more TOTY from AH.  And if you want the "set" version, you have to wait until end of March. This is just crazy.

shams

looks good to me - thanks. pretty boring promo

starkmm

Sounds about right thanks for the math bro!!